Fig. 2

Home nursing service trajectories (a) jointly modelled with short-term skilled nursing facility trajectories (b) in the last 13 weeks of life. Solid lines represent predicted trajectories, dashed lines indicate observed trajectories. Percentage of population for each trajectory are shown. Home nursing service trajectories were modeled using a censored normal distribution after log transformation. A Bernoulli distribution was used to model probability of a skilled nursing facility stay each week. In total, 97.1% persons had a probability of assigned trajectory ≥ 0.70