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Table 3 Vermont Blueprint for Health Risk-Adjustment Model Comparisons & Resulting Practice Level Coefficient of Variation, CY2014

From: Risk-adjustment methods for all-payer comparative performance reporting in Vermont

Model

Adult Model

Pediatric Model

r2

D = Log-Likelihood Ratio (p-value)

Model Adjusted Practice Level Coefficient of Variation

r2

D = Log-Likelihood Ratio (p-value)

Model Adjusted Practice Level Coefficient of Variation

Total expenditures

      

No adjustment

N/A

 

18.5

N/A

 

23.4

Age and gender

0.028

8102 (p < .001)

14.8

0.008

647 (p < .001)

24.3

Age, gender, and CRG

0.265

79231 (p < .001)

13.0

0.253

22138 (p < .001)

19.3

Full model

0.293

10884 (p < .001)

11.7

0.352

11092 (p < .001)

11.4

Total expenditures excluding SMS

      

No adjustment

N/A

 

19.1

N/A

 

15.0

Age and gender

0.038

11116 (p < .001)

14.2

0.007

524 (p < .001)

15.3

Age, gender, and CRG

0.270

78242 (p < .001)

14.3

0.288

25982 (p < .001)

9.9

Full model

0.285

5779 (p < .001)

12.1

0.302

1622 (p < .001)

9.3

Total resource use excluding SMS

      

No adjustment

N/A

 

22.4

N/A

 

17.0

Age and gender

0.045

12904 (p < .001)

17.3

0.007

561 (p < .001)

17.4

Age, gender, and CRG

0.266

74684 (p < .001)

13.6

0.289

26054 (p < .001)

11.7

Full model

0.289

8805 (p < .001)

11.5

0.315

3003 (p < .001)

9.0

HEDIS composite (not adjusted)

  

5.4

  

7.8

  1. The r2 represents the percentage explained by the model at the patient level. The mode-adjusted practice-level coefficient of variation represents the degree of variability in rates between practices at the practice level, with a lower value indicating reduced variation