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Table 2 Projected results of health-related indicators of prostate cancer*

From: Cost of illness of the prostate cancer in Japan—a time-trend analysis and future projections

 

2011 (base line)

 

Future estimates

2014

2017

2020

Number of prostate cancer death (person)

  

Fixed model

12,425

(1.15)

13,726

(1.27)

14,833

(1.37)

10,823

(1.00)

Linear model

12,862

(1.19)

14,165

(1.31)

15,352

(1.42)

  

Logarithmic model

12,934

(1.20)

14,341

(1.33)

15,597

(1.44)

Number of outpatient visit (person)

  

Fixed model

5,585,678

(1.09)

5,655,557

(1.10)

6,176,422

(1.20)

5,139,223

(1.00)

Linear model

6,979,937

(1.36)

7,987,933

(1.55)

9,254,791

(1.80)

  

Logarithmic model

5,696,500

(1.11)

6,154,510

(1.20)

6,747,682

(1.31)

Number of times of hospitalization (times)

  

Fixed model

15,061

(1.05)

15,489

(1.08)

15,911

(1.11)

14,300

(1.00)

Linear model

17,981

(1.26)

20,439

(1.43)

23,251

(1.63)

  

Logarithmic model

15,673

(1.10)

16,822

(1.18)

18,155

(1.27)

Total days of hospitalization (days)

  

Fixed model

1,938,841

(1.10)

2,069,475

(1.18)

2,178,139

(1.24)

1,756,560

(1.00)

Linear model

1,769,365

(1.01)

2,011,227

(1.14)

2,287,945

(1.30)

  

Logarithmic model

1,895,770

(1.08)

1,884,734

(1.07)

1,869,085

(1.06)

  1. *Index number having a value of 1.00 at baseline shown in parentheses