From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore
Model
Training Set MAPE
Validation Set MAPE
ARIMA (1,0,0)
6.0%
9.0%
ARIMA (1,0,1)
6.2%
9.2%
ARIMA (1,0,2)
5.9%
8.4%
ARIMA (1,0,3)
5.7%
8.6%
ARIMA (1,0,4)
5.3%
13.1%
ARIMA (1,1,3)
18.7%
ARIMA (0,0,2)
9.8%
32.8%
ARIMA (0,0,3)
9.5%
16.4%