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Table 2 Peak bed occupancy predicted using bed pathways data for patients with COVID-19 from UCH and CO-CIN

From: Importance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in England

Dataset

LoS used

Ward peak bed occupancy

CC peak bed occupancy

Median peak time

IQR peak time

Mean peak

occ.

s.d. peak

occ.

Median peak time

IQR peak time

Mean peak occ.

s.d. peak occ.

UCH

Bed pathways

03/04/20

31/03/20–03/04/20

54

4.06

02/04/20

31/03/20–04/04/20

13

2.51

Averages

31/03/20

30/03/20–03/04/20

46

3.51

31/03/20

30/04/20–03/04/20

11

2.12

Data

31/03/20

N/A

59

N/A

31/03/20

N/A

16

N/A

CO-CIN

Bed pathways

10/04/20

09/04/20–10/04/20

20,469

89.89

14/04/20

13/04/20–15/04/20

4530

65.05

Averages

10/04/20

10/04/20–10/04/20

18,209

99.07

11/04/20

10/04/20–12/04/20

3835

56.26

Data

12/04/20

N/A

16,093

N/A

12/04/20

N/A

2881

N/A

  1. Daily hospital admissions are taken from UCH or UK Government data at the England level. Peak is defined as the earliest time at which maximum bed occupancy is reached. Results are from 100 model runs. Date format is dd/mm/yy. CC critical care, Occ. occupancy, s.d. standard deviation