Skip to main content

Table 2 Key assumptions of forecasting demand and supply

From: Forecasting maldistribution of human resources for healthcare and patients in Japan: a utilization-based approach

Supply side

 Allocating physicians according to demographic change in each SMCA

 Productivity per a physician will unchange over time

 Health care system and medical insurance sytem will remain

Demand side

 Patient behavior by disease will not change

 Demand increasing by innovation of technology, such as in screening, will not occur

 The accessibility level to medical services wil remain constant

 Working scope of medical stuff will remain as it is

 Age and sex specific levels health will remain constant over time