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Table 1 Statistical summary of seasonality and predictability of the 52 admission time series

From: Simplicity within complexity: Seasonality and predictability of hospital admissions in the province of Ontario 1988–2001, a population-based analysis

Health Outcome R2 Autoreg Fisher Kappa (p-value)1 BKS (p-value)1 # outside 95% CI2
Acute bronchiolitis 0.95 76.56 (<0.01) 0.77 (<0.01) 0
Non-infectious gastroenteritis 0.91 66.28 (<0.01) 0.65 (<0.01) 0
Pneumonia/influenza 0.88 68.64 (<0.01) 0.68 (<0.01) 0
Osteoarthritis 0.86 49.81(<0.01) 0.37 (<0.01) 0
Appendicitis 0.84 52.99 (<0.01) 0.50 (<0.01) 0
Uterine fibroids 0.83 40.05 (<0.01) 0.27 (<0.01) 0
Congestive heart failure 0.82 44.14 (<0.01) 0.42 (<0.01) 0
Previous C-section 0.82 44.52 (<0.01) 0.39 (<0.01) 0
Prostatic hyperplasia 0.80 36.49 (<0.01) 0.31 (<0.01) 0
Singleton birth 0.76 39.20 (<0.01) 0.37 (<0.01) 0
Croup 0.75 47.84 (<0.01) 0.56 (<0.01) 0
Diverticulosis 0.75 29.57 (<0.01) 0.33 (<0.01) 0
Excessive menstruation 0.72 34.02 (<0.01) 0.26 (<0.01) 0
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 0.71 50.14 (<0.01) 0.50 (<0.01) 0
Urinary tract infection 0.69 52.24 (<0.01) 0.48 (<0.01) 3
Coronary atherosclerosis 0.69 31.60 (<0.01) 0.21 (<0.01) 0
Kidney stones 0.67 40.21 (<0.01) 0.35 (<0.01) 0
Breast cancer 0.67 39.47 (<0.01) 0.24 (<0.01) 0
MyocardiaI infarction 0.67 32.48 (<0.01) 0.30 (<0.01) 1
Gall bladder 0.66 34.69 (<0.01) 0.27 (<0.01) 0
Prostate cancer 0.62 33.42 (<0.01) 0.26 (<0.01) 3
Senile cataract and cataract unspecified 0.60 26.09 (<0.01) 0.27 (<0.01) 0
Acute pancreatitis 0.60 25.30 (<0.01) 0.18 (<0.05) 0
Threatened premature labour 0.59 26.74 (<0.01) 0.19 (<0.01) 1
Gall bladder w/acute cholecystitis 0.57 20.08 (<0.01) 0.15 (NS) 0
Convulsions 0.54 22.46 (<0.01) 0.21 (<0.01) 0
Trochanteric fracture 0.53 22.62 (<0.01) 0.14 (NS) 0
Chronic tonsillitis 0.51 20.82 (<0.01) 0.24 (<0.01) 0
Recurrent manic depression (depressed phase) 0.51 25.43 (<0.01) 0.20 (<0.01) 0
Premature rupture of membrane 0.50 32.01 (<0.01) 0.25 (<0.01) 1
Displacement of inter-lumbar disc 0.50 26.38 (<0.01) 0.18 (<0.01) 1
Dehydration 0.50 55.40 (<0.01) 0.58 (<0.01) 2
Syncope and collapse 0.48 22.57 (<0.01) 0.18 (<0.05) 5
Uncomplicated diabetes 0.48 22.54 (<0.01) 0.23 (<0.01) 0
Lung cancer 0.46 19.41 (<0.01) 0.12 (NS) 0
Depressive disorder 0.45 12.28 (<0.01) 0.14 (NS) 1
Fractured femur 0.44 12.72 (<0.01) 0.10 (NS) 3
Unilateral inguinal hernia 0.43 16.52 (<0.01) 0.18 (<0.01) 0
Abdominal pain 0.43 19.15 (<0.01) 0.26 (<0.01) 0
Transient cerebral ischemia 0.41 18.42 (<0.01) 0.12 (NS) 2
Acute but ill defined cardiovascular disease 0.40 14.69 (<0.01) 0.19 (NS) 0
Angina 0.40 11.72 (<0.01) 0.14 (NS) 0
Unspecified intestinal obstruction 0.38 10.80 (<0.01) 0.15 (<0.05) 0
Other acute ischaemic heart disease 0.36 17.08 (<0.01) 0.15 (<0.05) 1
Recurrent manic depression (manic phase) 0.35 13.77 (<0.01) 0.10 (NS) 4
Fetal distress 0.34 20.24 (<0.01) 0.26 (<0.01) 0
Spontaneous abortion unspecified 0.33 10.95 (<0.01) 0.12 (NS) 0
Stroke 0.31 10.32 (<0.01) 0.14 (NS) 0
Chest pain (nonspecific) 0.29 11.34 (<0.01) 0.14 (NS) 4
Gastrointestinal bleed 0.26 7.84 (<0.05) 0.14 (NS) 0
Other IHD 0.17 6.24 (NS) 0.12 (NS) 0
Infantile cataract 0.11 4.85 (NS) 0.28 (<0.01) 0
  1. 1 NS = not significant (p > 0.05)
  2. 2 95% CI = 95% confidence interval