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Table 3 Projected health outcomes and costs of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in a cohort of Chinese infants on lifetime disease burden compared with no vaccination

From: Modeling the impact of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Chinese infants: an economic analysis of a compulsory vaccination

Disease type/health outcome

No vaccination

PCV-7 Vaccination

Differences*

Cases for birth cohort

   

  Pneumococcal bacteremia

7,402

4,587

-2,815

  Pneumococcal meningitis

3,701

2,293

-1,407

  Pneumococcal AOM

12,616,500

8,554,976

-4,061,524

  Pneumococcal pneumonia

780,407

307,880

-472,527

  Disability caused by pneumococcal meningitis

255

158

-97

  Deafness caused by pneumococcal meningitis

474

294

-180

  Tube insertion caused by pneumococcal AOM

732,905

497,086

-235,819

  Death caused by pneumococcal disease

4,674

1,993

-2,682

  Death caused by pneumococcal bacteremia

335

207

-128

  Death caused by pneumococcal meningitis

302

188

-114

  Death caused by pneumococcal pneumonia

4,037

1,597

-2,439

Efficacy of herd immunity

   

  Pneumococcal bacteremia

28,310

23,562

-4,748

  Pneumococcal meningitis

19,088

7,817

-11,270

  Disability caused by pneumococcal meningitis

3,627

1,485

-2,141

  Deafness caused by pneumococcal meningitis

4,963

2,033

-2,930

  Death caused by pneumococcal invasive disease

5,449

3,934

-1,515

Costs for birth cohort ($, discounted)

   

  vaccine cost (including administration)

0

6,438,882,934

6,438,882,934

  Meningitis medical cost

13,275,258

8,226,631

-5,048,627

  Bacteremia medical cost

19,739,872

12,232,718

-7,507,154

  Pneumonia medical cost

473,942,531

186,976,189

-286,966,342

  AOM medical cost

1,401,833,288

950,552,900

-451,280,388

  Long-term cost of sequelae

6,428,514

3,974,969

-2,453,545

  Nonmedical cost

1,581,876,301

1,144,173,592

-437,702,709

     Subtotal

3,497,095,763

8,745,019,933

5,247,924,169

Costs in herd immunity

323,840,533

169,576,767

-154,263,765

     Total

3,820,936,296

8,914,596,700

5,093,660,404

QALYs loss (without herd immunity)

2,310,183

2,300,288

43,543#

QALYs loss (with herd immunity)

112,072,439

112,019,001

53,438#

ICER without heard immunity ($/QALY gained)

 

530,354

 

ICER with heard immunity ($/QALY avoided)

 

95,319

 
  1. *PCV-7 vaccination strategy compared with no vaccination.
  2. #The incremental QALYs gained by PCV-7 vaccination strategy.