Base model and lag | With anticipatory behaviour and lag | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
all age | all age | |||||||
Variable | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups |
EMSNCap effect | -79.21** | -22.85 | 21.25* | -59.55 | 3.36 | -9.30 | 18.14 | -1.43 |
27.87 | 13.25 | 10.88 | 24.07 | 38.94 | 16.75 | 15.93 | 15.81 | |
Lag of D. Variable | -480.27*** | 256.94 | 64.32 | 0.92 | 0.99*** | 0.84*** | 0.14 | 0.97*** |
16.30 | 22.18 | 23.48 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.03 | |
Season 1 (base) | ||||||||
Season 2 | 122.57*** | -22.27 | -8.17 | 45.30 | 73.13* | -35.75* | -5.55 | -13.48 |
24.83 | 13.27 | 8.69 | 59.14 | 33.54 | 13.54 | 14.71 | 13.22 | |
Season 3 | 172.65*** | -39.82 | -26.86 | 45.98 | 14.63 | -49.11*** | -24.10 | -42.19*** |
24.91 | 13.04 | 8.86 | 63.19 | 29.16 | 13.30 | 14.96 | 11.54 | |
Season 4 | 61.92** | -110.04** | -63.94*** | -28.21 | -120.60*** | -121.66*** | -61.02*** | -117.94*** |
20.97 | 12.92 | 8.08 | 56.94 | 29.85 | 14.76 | 12.17 | 11.89 | |
Time Trend | -4.42 | 1.16 | 1.20 | -0.83 | -0.80 | -0.27 | 1.43 | -0.23 |
2.82 | 1.70 | 1.23 | 8.28 | 3.90 | 1.85 | 1.59 | 1.62 | |
Constant | 993.48*** | 107.76*** | 155.42*** | 436.08*** | 15.93 | 114.26** | 157.46*** | 54.97** |
33.95 | 34.26 | 12.46 | 94.98 | 48.47 | 36.48 | 27.73 | 18.33 | |
N | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 |
df | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
R squared | 0.98 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.85 | 0.95 | 0.83 | 0.70 | 0.96 |